| What have I learned? | |
| 1 | Form means everything - particularly at the distance being raced |
| 2 | FU and 2U record is worth taking note of - particularly a good 2U record |
| 3 | Consider fitness of horse - length of campaign and compare against previous |
| 4 | It's hard to beat a superstar |
| 5 | Don't ever pick multi's - they come through once in a while but lose overall |
| 6 | VG trial + VG trainer is compelling - but only in the city |
| 7 | Consider how many times I observed better form, picked against it and lost |
| 8 | CHS is a powerful attribute |
| 9 | Jockey doesn't make a lot of difference unless it is a class horse |
| 10 | Be careful listening to other people - don't break your own rules! |
To clarify:
FU and 2U means first-up and second-up
CHS means coming home strong, which is what I call a horse who tends to come from mid-back field at the 600 and finish strongly. Some horses lead and go all the way, but I find they are often at risk of being run down by a horse with a powerful CHS record.
A lot of this may seem pretty damn obvious. But honestly, as I wrote in my notations, there were a good number of races where I wrote down the form of the field, noted that a horse had the best form, and picked against it only to lose. That was the lesson of these two weeks for me, more than any other. If you are an up-and-coming punter, please be aware of that. There are always reasons why we think a horse will win or lose, but nothing argues with form, there is little opinion in that. Yes class and circumstances come into play, but overall, form is king.
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